In December 2024, the sudden fall of the Assad regime in Syria took many by surprise – an event that has fundamentally reshaped the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East. In his analysis, Dr. Walter Posch, research fellow at the IFK and ACIPSS member, examines the complex causes and far-reaching consequences of this upheaval. The author specializes in Iraq, Iran, as well as Islamist fundamentalism and terrorism.
The article explores the roles of regional and international actors such as Russia, Iran, Turkey, Israel, and the United States, and highlights how new power dynamics have emerged following the victory of the radical jihadist “Syrian Liberation Movement” (HTS). Particular focus is given to Turkey’s growing influence, the fragile balance concerning the Kurdish question, and Israel’s strategic realignment.
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